The Keel

1 wall · Weather from the Portlethen to Newtonhill point · Updated Wed 21 Oct, 05:52

Big sea: up to 2.8 m today. A big sea can reach walls that are not marked tidal. Check the sea and the weather on the day before you commit to a route.

How sure

Tomorrow: The models differ by just over 2 points at times between 10:00 and 13:00. The best window is not affected.

Across the crag

Rock now: Wet. 1.6 mm of rain in 24 hours, 1.9 mm in 72.
Low water: Today 03:57, 16:21. Tomorrow 05:01, 17:12.
Sea: 2.5 m from the SE, 7 s wind sea. Up to 2.8 m today.
Weather: Portlethen to Newtonhill point, shared along this stretch. Coast counted as facing ESE.

Met Office figures, to 05:00.

The Keel

Faces NE
Open
Part tidal

Today, Wed 21

Not climbable today. Best 09:00 to 12:00.

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Tomorrow, Thu 22

Climbable from 13:00. Best 14:00 to 17:00.

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Why

Even the best window is held back by rain and humid air (96% humidity).

What shapes this crag

Sun: Faces north-east & south-east in places, scored as NE. Does not reach the face today.
Sea: Onto the face, counted in full: 2.5 m at the wall.
Tide: Grip pulls the rock temperature harder towards the sea's, and counts spray from a 2 m sea rather than 2.5 m.
Seepage: Known to seep after rain.
Birds: No information. Grip does not know whether birds nest here.

Next 7 days

Wed009–120 h

Thu414–175 h

Fri009–120 h

Sat009–120 h

Sun314–160 h

Mon408–113 h

Tue614–165 h

Hour by hour

Grip is the blend of the three models. The points column shows the Met Office figures (the next model's where it does not reach), factors at zero left out. Wet risk is how many models have the rock wet, foggy or raining.

Wed 21 Oct

Wednesday 21 October · low water 03:57, 16:21
Time	Wet risk	Humidity	Rock over dew point	Wind	Sun	Sea at wall	Points
09:00	3 in 3	94%	+3.0°C	E 30 km/h	cloud	2.8 m	air -3 · dew -1 · wind dir -1 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -2 (raining)
10:00	3 in 3	97%	+2.1°C	E 30 km/h	cloud	2.8 m	air -5 · dew -1 · wind dir -1 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -2 (raining)
11:00	3 in 3	96%	+2.0°C	E 31 km/h	cloud	2.7 m	air -5 · dew -2 · wind dir -1 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -2 (raining)
12:00	3 in 3	97%	+1.4°C	SE 19 km/h	cloud	2.6 m	air -5 · dew -2 · wind dir -1 · wind +1 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -3 (raining)
13:00	3 in 3	96%	+1.7°C	S 13 km/h	cloud	2.5 m	air -5 · dew -2 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -3 (raining)
14:00	3 in 3	95%	+1.6°C	SW 15 km/h	cloud	2.4 m	air -5 · dew -2 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -3 (raining)
15:00	3 in 3	93%	+2.3°C	SW 17 km/h	cloud	2.3 m	air -4 · dew -1 · wind dir +1 · wind +1 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -3 (raining)
16:00	3 in 3	93%	+2.1°C	SW 14 km/h	cloud	2.2 m	air -4 · dew -1 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -3 (raining)
17:00	3 in 3	94%	+2.1°C	S 17 km/h	cloud	2.1 m	air -4 · dew -1 · wind +1 · sea -2 · wet -3 · seep -3 (wet, 2.0 mm on the rock)

Thu 22 Oct

Thursday 22 October · low water 05:01, 17:12
Time	Grip	Models	Wet risk	Humidity	Rock over dew point	Wind	Sun	Sea at wall	Points
09:00	1	200	3 in 3	70%	+9.6°C	W 27 km/h	cloud	0.9 m	air +2 · dew +1 · wind dir +1 · wind +1 · sea -1 · wet -3 · seep -3 (wet, 1.7 mm on the rock)
10:00	1	200	3 in 3	68%	+10.0°C	W 25 km/h	sun	0.9 m	air +2 · dew +1 · wind dir +1 · wind +1 · sea -1 · wet -3 · seep -3 (wet, 1.5 mm on the rock)
11:00	2	311	3 in 3	64%	+10.0°C	W 22 km/h	sun	0.9 m	air +3 · dew +1 · wind dir +1 · wind +1 · sea -1 · wet -3 · seep -3 (wet, 1.4 mm on the rock)
12:00	3	421	3 in 3	61%	+10.0°C	W 22 km/h	sun	0.8 m	air +4 · dew +1 · wind dir +1 · wind +1 · sea -1 · wet -3 · seep -2 (wet, 1.2 mm on the rock)
13:00	4	433	3 in 3	59%	+9.9°C	W 22 km/h	sun	0.8 m	air +4 · dew +1 · wind dir +1 · wind +1 · wet -3 · seep -2 (wet, 1.0 mm on the rock)
14:00	4	433	3 in 3	54%	+10.8°C	W 21 km/h	sun	0.7 m	air +4 · dew +1 · wind dir +1 · wind +1 · wet -3 · seep -2 (wet, 0.8 mm on the rock)
15:00	4	434	3 in 3	56%	+10.1°C	W 16 km/h	sun	0.7 m	air +4 · dew +1 · wind dir +1 · wind +1 · wet -3 · seep -2 (wet, 0.7 mm on the rock)
16:00	4	533	3 in 3	59%	+8.2°C	SW 13 km/h	sun	0.7 m	air +4 · dew +1 · wind dir +1 · wet -3 (wet, 0.5 mm on the rock)
17:00	4	432	3 in 3	68%	+7.4°C	SW 13 km/h	sun	0.6 m	air +2 · dew +1 · wind dir +1 · wet -2 (damp, 0.4 mm on the rock)

Fri 23 Oct

Friday 23 October · low water 05:41, 17:59
Time	Grip	Models	Wet risk	Humidity	Rock over dew point	Wind	Sun	Sea at wall	Points
09:00	1	004	2 in 3	87%	+3.2°C	E 31 km/h	cloud	1.2 m	air -2 · haar -2 · wind dir -1 · sea -1 · wet -5 (raining)
10:00	0	000	3 in 3	90%	+2.7°C	E 32 km/h	cloud	1.3 m	air -3 · haar -2 · dew -1 · wind dir -1 · sea -1 · wet -5 · seep -3 (raining)
11:00	0	000	3 in 3	92%	+2.1°C	E 29 km/h	cloud	1.4 m	air -4 · haar -2 · dew -1 · wind dir -1 · sea -1 · wet -5 · seep -3 (raining)
12:00	0	000	3 in 3	92%	+1.7°C	SE 23 km/h	cloud	1.6 m	air -4 · haar -2 · dew -2 · wind dir -1 · wind +1 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -4 (raining)
13:00	0	000	3 in 3	93%	+1.4°C	SE 18 km/h	cloud	1.7 m	air -4 · haar -2 · dew -2 · wind dir -1 · wind +1 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -4 (raining)
14:00	0	000	3 in 3	94%	+1.1°C	SE 12 km/h	cloud	1.7 m	air -5 · haar -2 · dew -2 · wind dir -1 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -4 (raining)
15:00	0	000	3 in 3	96%	+0.8°C	SE 6 km/h	cloud	1.7 m	air -5 · haar -2 · dew -3 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -4 (raining)
16:00	0	000	3 in 3	96%	+1.2°C	S 4 km/h	cloud	1.7 m	air -5 · haar -2 · dew -2 · wind -1 · sea -2 · wet -5 · seep -4 (raining)

Models: Met Office, ECMWF, ICON, in that order.

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